Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling rates and also lowered its expected sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the price of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had forecasted since the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' list prices have been adversely affected by a significant reduction in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and eco-friendly item market value premiums have stayed weak," the business added.


Industry executives and experts have stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are stopping briefly expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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